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Computer objectivity problems
A look at computer forecasting reveals that even on election nights the machine may be constrained by human bias. Experts warn that probabilistic models depend on programmer assumptions, while deterministic methods require robust data and keep variables under control to improve accuracy. The lesson: forecasting hinges on human frailty and interpretation.
MENTIONED IN THIS ARTICLE
Lloyd Baldwin
The
Software Industry Association
Baldwin
Arthur L. Pearlman
Foresight Systems, Inc
California
Pearlman