Polling uncertainty could swing seven swing states this year
The analysis notes that all seven swing states sit within normal poll error, making a close race plausible yet unpredictable. It warns that correlated polling errors could drive the outcome toward Harris or Trump if errors align, citing 2016 and 2020 patterns and potential shifts in education weighting and herd behavior.
MENTIONED IN THIS ARTICLE
Washington Post
Donald Trump
Kamala Harris
Harris
Trump
Georgia
Nevada
North Carolina
Arizona
Pennsylvania
Iowa
Ann Selzer
Midwest
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