Dewey Defeats Truman Still Haunts Polling History
Fifty years after the 1948 election major polls predicted a Dewey victory but Truman won by 4.4 points. Polling pioneers like Roper Gallup and Crossley reflect on errors, shift to random sampling and extended deadlines, and emphasize humility in predicting voters.
MENTIONED IN THIS ARTICLE
Washington
America
Dewey
Truman
New York
Thomas Dewey
Harry Truman
Burns W
Bud"’ Roper
Roper Starch Worldwide
George Gallup Jr
Gallup Organization
Elmo Roper
George Gallup
Archibald M. Crossley
Elec
Roosevelt
Strom Thurmond
Henry Wallace
Roper
Warren Mitofsky
Chicago Tribune
Americans becoming more optimistic about future says Gallup
A Gallup poll of 5 001 adults from April to May finds record optimism about the nation's path and individual futures since 1964. Most expect better lives in five years, while 85 percent feel generally satisfied with their personal lives.
MENTIONED IN THIS ARTICLE
Washington
Gallup
Monica Lewinsky
White House
Tme
GOP senator's lead slips in North Carolina race
A Nova Caronia poll shows GOP Senator Lauch Faircloth at 45 percent versus Democrat John Edwards at 43 percent among likely voters. The 3.5 point margin of error makes this a dead heat after a September lead of 50 to 40 for Faircloth.
MENTIONED IN THIS ARTICLE
Nova Caronia
Lauch Faircloth
Mason-Dixon
John Edwards
Faircloth
Edwards
Majority of Black Americans say they are better off
A survey released Tuesday finds 51 percent of blacks say they are financially better off than last year while 32 percent of whites share that view. Nine percent of blacks and 17 percent of whites say they are worse off. The Joint Center for Political and Economic Studies conducted the phone survey of 850 blacks and 850 non-blacks from Sept 5 to Sept 27, with a 3.5 point margin of error.
MENTIONED IN THIS ARTICLE
Joint Center For Political and Economic Studies
NYC residents say life improved since 1993 mayoral win
The New York Times CBS News Poll shows 59 percent of New York City residents believe life has improved in the last four years, up from 39 percent last fall. The telephone poll of 478 residents was conducted Oct. 1–6 with a margin of error plus or minus 4 percent.
MENTIONED IN THIS ARTICLE
Rudolph Giuliani
New York City
New York Times
CBS News
Big Apple
Journalists Face High Doubt Over Ethics Across Surveys
A Freedom Forum study for the AP/Managing Editors conference in Anaheim shows 88 percent of Americans doubt journalistic ethics, 76 percent accuse plagiarism, and 66 percent say stories are made up. Three telephone surveys in September and October carried 3 to 5 percent sampling error.
MENTIONED IN THIS ARTICLE
Freedom Forum Media Studies Center
Associated Press Managing Editors
Anaheim
Calif
Also Mentioned on This Page
Franklin D. Roosevelt
Burns Roper
Helen Crossley
Roper Company
CNY
Erie Bivd
Syracuse
Great Northern Mall
the Ultimate Halloween & Costume Store
Fayetteville
Stickley
Stickley, Baker, Henredon
Sherrill
Hickory
Hancock & Moore, Leathercraft and
Bradington-Young
High Point
N.C
Albany
Rochester
Manlius
White Plains
Old Stickley Factory
Orchard Street
Genesee Street
Fayettenaire Mall
Chapel
Orcharo
BS Qui Manlius
Stickley Mission
VISA
MasterCard
SPS Cad
Wd & Atte
Fulton Craterge
Auburn
Curt St Ra
Cortland
Aare
U.S
North Carolina
This is just the beginning! Our collection holds over 300 years of history, including rare newspapers, obituaries, marriage records, birth records, and so much more—most of which you won’t find anywhere else!