BAPSON'S REPORT Sees 1971 GNP Hit New High Amid Spending
The analysis forecasts 1971 GNP averaging above one trillion dollars with roughly six percent real growth and higher prices. Early 1971 should show strong consumer demand fading into a second-half pullback as unemployment and cautious spending temper gains.
Economic outlook for 1971 from Babson’s Reports
The Babson’s Reports staff expects personal income to climb in 1971 helped by wage boosts, automatic step-ups, and cost of living adjustments. Employment may rise early next year but profit margins face pressure from high labor costs. Unemployment could edge past 6 percent as inflation risks loom, with federal state and municipal tax burdens rising. Corporate profits should improve about 7 percent, aided by better earnings for 1970 losers and higher dividends. The Fed may ease credit cautiously while price wage controls remain a possibility if needed. Internationally, potential standoffs persist but no World War III. focus shifts to persuasion, trade, and budget deficits impacting the dollar.
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