Guarding against recency bias in long term investing insights
Amy Arnott argues for avoiding overemphasis on short term results by studying long term market history from IA SEBI and Dimson Marsh Staunton data, noting market cycles, shifts in leadership between growth and value, and macro regimes like the Fed's rate hikes starting in 2022 that altered bond and stock correlations.
MENTIONED IN THIS ARTICLE
Elroy Dimson
Paul Marsh
Mike Staunton
Robert Shiller
Federal Reserve
Fed
Autopiloting investments cuts risk and guardrails
Warren Buffett warns that a cheery market consensus already priced in results in limited future profits and potential losses when reality reasserts itself. Readers are urged to use a long term asset mix, periodic rebalancing, automatic contributions, and a written investment policy to curb recency bias and keep gains steady.
MENTIONED IN THIS ARTICLE
Warren Buffett
Europe
European Central Bank
Carsten Brzeski
ING Bank
Donald Trump
ECB
AI superintelligence risks and political tensions in tech
Interview with Michael Liedtke explores AI progress risks and the ethical tensions among pioneers like Geoffrey Hinton. The discussion weighs societal threats, funding new AI ventures in 2025, and the car versus plane risk analogy for evaluating AI dangers.
MENTIONED IN THIS ARTICLE
Geoffrey Hinton
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