Winnipeg Free Press (Newspaper) - July 29, 2015, Winnipeg, Manitoba C M Y K PAGE A7
A CENTURY- AND- A- HALF ago, during
one of the pre- Confederation
meetings that established Canada’s
system of government, a Prince Edward
Island delegate proposed that the Senate
should be “ more representative of the
smaller provinces” and become “ the
guardian of their rights and privileges.”
Andrew Macdonald’s motion at the
Quebec Conference
of 1864, which
would have given
each province the
same number of
senators regardless
of population, was
rejected. And while
his name is forgotten
today, Macdonald’s
idea that the Senate
could be more than a
retirement home for political cronies —
protecting smaller provinces from being
steamrollered by larger ones and the
federal government — has endured.
That’s why Prime Minister Stephen
Harper’s announcement on Friday that
he will no longer fill Senate vacancies
— in effect, abolishing the red chamber
by attrition — is getting short shrift in
Atlantic Canada.
P. E. I. Premier Wade MacLauchlan
quickly issued a statement reiterating
his province’s position, which remains
unchanged after 150 years: “ The Senate
contributes regional balance and voice in
our national institutions.”
Nova Scotia’s premier is sticking to his
guns as well. Stephen McNeil said Friday
he’s open to discussing Senate reform,
but the interests of smaller provinces
must be protected. He has already suggested
Nova Scotia be given more seats
in the House of Commons if the Senate is
abolished.
Minister of Energy and Mines Donald
Arsenault fielded New Brunswick’s response
to Harper’s announcement and reminded
the prime minister the provinces
must be consulted on Senate reform.
Newfoundland and Labrador Premier
Paul Davis, meanwhile, continues to call
for “ a comprehensive review and discussion
on Senate reform.”
There’s an element of partisanship at
work here. Three of the four Atlantic
premiers are Liberals, the Harper government
has little support in the region
and Davis’s Progressive Conservative
government is upholding the Newfoundland
tradition of clashing with the federal
Conservatives whenever possible.
But there is also a gritty demographic
reality behind this support for the Senate’s
survival — population growth on the
East Coast is a fraction of the national
average, and fewer people means less
political clout.
This fall’s election will offer stark
evidence of the region’s waning influence
in Ottawa. Atlantic Canada has 32 seats
in the House of Commons but redistribution
will add almost that many in other
regions — Ontario, Quebec, British Columbia
and Alberta will gain a total of 30
seats in an expanded, 338- seat Commons.
The Senate is the only federal forum
where smaller provinces can punch above
their weight, which is what the Fathers of
Confederation intended.
The constitutional framework hammered
out at the Quebec Conference and
implemented in 1867 struck a regional
balance. The Maritime provinces were
granted a third of the Senate’s 72 seats,
equal to the 24 seats allotted to each of
the other founding provinces, Ontario and
Quebec.
When P. E. I. joined Confederation in
1873 it claimed four of the Maritime
seats, leaving Nova Scotia and New
Brunswick their current entitlement of
10 each ( Manitoba, in contrast, with a
population almost 300,000 larger than
Nova Scotia’s, has only six senators).
Newfoundland received six senators
when it joined Canada in 1949, boosting
the Atlantic region’s share of seats to 30
in today’s 105- member Senate.
This is why Atlantic premiers want to
see the Senate reformed — or abolished,
if it comes to that — through negotiation,
not killed off through neglect. No matter
how ineffectual the Senate may be, and
regardless of how unpopular and scandalridden
it has become, their provinces have
something to lose if it disappears. Understandably,
they want something in return.
Last year’s Supreme Court of Canada
ruling, requiring unanimous provincial
approval to abolish the Senate, strengthens
their hand. Many of the larger
provinces also oppose Harper’s unilateral
— and likely unconstitutional — attempt
to abolish the Senate by other means.
But there’s much more at stake for
Atlantic Canada if the Senate is allowed
to fade away, taking with it the idea that
small provinces matter.
Dean Jobb, an associate professor
of journalism at the University of King’s
College in Halifax, is the author of
Empire of Deception, the true story
of a 1920s Chicago swindler who escaped
to a new life in Nova Scotia.
IDEAS œ ISSUES œ INSIGHTS
THINK- TANK A 7
Winnipeg Free Press
Wednesday,
July 29, 2015
I N the fall of 2011, a local indie theatre company
staged a play called Generous by Michael
Healey, one of the country’s most controversial
writers. In it, a Calgary oil exec gleefully scorns
the environment then seduces a reporter while the
heritage minister stabs an opposition MP to stave
off a non- confidence vote.
It was a riot, a hot mess of
complicated morality and
improbable politics and outrageous
characters. It tapped
into the moment, especially
for a city just finished with a
federal election and smack in
the middle of a provincial one.
It was, pretty nearly, the last
overtly political play I’ve seen in Winnipeg.
Just three days after the Winnipeg Fringe Theatre
Festival, where experimental theatre and edgy
ideas are meant to collide, my beer tent lament is
about the almost total lack of politics on stage. In
an election year, in a year when Winnipeg began to
talk about our racial divide, in a year of Vladimir
Putin and IS and four million Syrian refugees, this
was the least political fringe I can remember.
Instead, as it has been for several years, the
fringe was dominated by personal storytelling,
which often told us a lot about the performer —
their daddy issues, their brother in jail, their
cross- Canada road trip — but not much about our
world and how it’s run. There was lots of sketch and
stand- up comedy, much of it hilarious, almost none
of it political, even though the best social commentary,
the most eviscerating political criticism
often comes from comedians. In one review, I gave
fringe- favourite God is a Scottish Drag Queen a
hassle for hauling out a cheap Harper joke but it
ended up being the only Harper joke I heard in the
25 shows I saw.
Forget Parliament and the Senate scandal and
elections and Justin Trudeau. Where were the
shows about small- P political issues — poverty, immigration,
climate change, rape culture? Roughly
half of the 180- odd fringe shows are produced
locally. Did any tackle Winnipeg’s biggest issue —
our relationship with indigenous people? I spent
nearly every day last week at the fringe and I
didn’t hear of one.
A show by a bunch of kids was one exception that
merits a mention. Siloam Mission, working with
Aboriginal Youth Opportunities and the Louis Riel
School Division, put on Blink’s Garden , a fun caper
with a deeper message about income inequality.
In past years, the odd political show stood out
so much as to be among my most memorable,
including local raconteur Bill Pats’s look at capital
punishment or indigenous actor Cliff Cardinal’s
ambitious and shattering look at life on the reserve.
In their imperfect ways, those did what theatre,
at its best, is meant to do, illuminate complicated
issues, using characters we care about to help us
grapple with an issue, a point of view, an experience,
a problem. The theatre can help us understand
political and social problems better than
almost anything, better than an attack ad, better
than a policy paper, better than an editorial. It can
make an argument for change that’s more potent
than any a politician or a protester might deliver.
Instead, much of the theatre I see now, at the
fringe and on the city’s professional stages, feels
neutered, like we have nothing better to talk about
than ourselves.
Maybe there’s a chill, a fear that overtly political
plays will run afoul of overly- sensitive government
funders. That’s what many fear happened to Toronto’s
SummerWorks festival, which lost $ 50,000
in grant money after it mounted a play about the
Toronto- 18 terrorist plot. Healey’s Proud , which
featured a surprisingly nuanced and sympathetic
Stephen Harper, was rejected by a major Toronto
theatre company for fear Harper himself might
sue. I’m not sure such a chill really exists — Theatre
Projects Manitoba mounted a wicked production
of Proud last year. If the chill does exist,
surely it shouldn’t filter down to the fringe, where
the ambitious, experimental, anything- goes ethos
seems to be waning.
Maybe playwrights and producers worry that
if we can barely get citizens out to vote there’s no
way we can get them to pony up for a night of political
agitation disguised as entertainment. Maybe
everyone figures there’s just not much of a market
for a play about climate change.
Except there is. One of the most- talked about
plays in London last year was 2071 , co- written by
a British playwright and a climate scientist. Along
with a hit show about a meddling King Charles III,
one about the Occupy movement and another about
illegal migrants, it prompted Guardian theatre critic
Micheal Billington to laud the revival of political
theatre in the U. K. recently. A new generation has
inherited the “ conviction that theatre has a moral
duty to address the state of society,” he wrote.
Where is that conviction in Canada?
maryagnes. welch@ freepress. mb. ca
Has fringe been politically neutered?
PHOTO CREDIT
Ray Strachan checks out the Fringe Festival signs on Market Avenue last week. Around 180 shows were part of the annual 12- day event.
DEAN
JOBB
MARY AGNES
WELCH
Senate
gives
regions
a voice
I N recent months, much airtime has been given
to the Liberal party’s decline behind the NDP in
the polls. Interest in the Liberal slump is understandable.
The party was in power for so long,
having won 18 of the 28 federal elections held since
the expansion of the franchise in 1918, that it was
referred to as Canada’s “ natural
governing party.” Liberal
revival will therefore signal a
return to a federal politics that
is very familiar. But continued
Liberal decline will indicate
Canadian politics has fundamentally
transformed, and that
we have as a country entered
uncharted electoral territory.
I have substantial doubt
about the Liberal party’s ability
to bounce back from the shellacking it received in
the 2011 election. There are several reasons for
this.
First, the 2011 defeat is unlike previous Liberal
defeats. The Liberals have been in power for so
long in Canadian history that their defeats ( notably
the 1911, 1930, 1957, 1984 elections) have been momentous,
remarkable occasions. But 2011 produced
a far worse result for the party — just 19 per cent
of the popular vote, below even John Turner’s
share of 28 per cent in the 1984 debacle.
As well, in the past, the pattern was for the Liberals
to lose but then quickly return to power within
one or two elections. To use the same example, the
party lost badly in 1984 but, two elections later, was
back in power with a majority government.
In contrast, the pattern for the present- day
Liberals is the opposite. Since their defeat in the
2006 election, the Liberals have consistently moved
further from, rather than closer to, being back in
power.
In part, this departure from the historical norm
reflects the party’s response to its defeat in the
2006 election. Following past defeats, Liberals
quickly mobilized to address organizational problems
that existed in the party. Re- election followed
shortly thereafter.
My impression of the party after 2006, however,
was that Liberals dawdled, sure that Canadians
would soon return home to the party once they
found the magical leader who would solve all their
problems. It was only after 2011 that the party seriously
engaged with the question of organizational
reform. It may now be too late for those reforms to
make much of a difference.
Perhaps more damagingly, the 2011 result is not
an aberration, but rather the culmination of a very
long- term decline in Liberal support in Canada.
To demonstrate this, one only need look at the
average vote shares received by the great Liberal
leaders while they were in government. Under
Wilfrid Laurier, the party won an average of 50
per cent of the vote in its winning elections. Under
Mackenzie King and Louis St. Laurent, that average
had declined to 46 per cent. Trudeau’s time in office
saw that average fall further to 43 per cent. Under
Jean Chrétien and Paul Martin, the Liberal party
average fell to 39 per cent. From 2006 onward, the
party has averaged 25 per cent of the popular vote.
Against this historical backdrop of decline,
Chrétien’s three majority governments seem less
like a triumph and more like the party’s last gasp.
Chrétien relied in part on vote- splitting between
the right- of- centre parties to win. But once the
right- of- centre parties got their act together, the
Liberals’ hold on power quickly crumbled.
Furthermore, by losing so badly in 2011, and with
their ability to form government seriously in doubt,
the Liberal party seems to have lost much of its
reason to exist. The Liberal party has always been
a pragmatic party, its priority being to both win
and govern rather than have a strictly coherent set
of policies that were vigorously implemented once
in office.
The Liberals may not have given their supporters
much in the way of policy rewards. But they made
up for this by winning so often, providing supporters
with access to power in a way the Conservative
party and NDP never could. But with its reputation
for inevitable power seemingly gone, what can the
party now offer potential supporters?
In addition, the Liberal party is caught in a spiral
in which continued electoral failure makes it more
and more difficult for the party to revitalize. This
is because the party has always attracted its most
talented elites explicitly because it was seen as the
ideal vehicle in which to ride directly into government.
It is doubtful Pierre Trudeau, for example, would
ever have thrown his lot in with the party in its
current state.
There is, however, one silver lining here. Despite
its losses, the Liberal party still seems able to attract
well- known or even star candidates. These
include, for example, former general Andrew
Leslie, former Toronto police chief Bill Blair and,
in Winnipeg, former councillor Dan Vandal and
mayoral candidate Robert Falcon- Oullette.
The presence of strong candidates suggests that,
despite its failures, not everyone has given up hope
the party can return to power. The Liberal brand
still has draw. But if this talent pool dries up in
the near future, it may indicate history has indeed
turned the page on the Liberal party’s days as a
party of government in Canada.
Royce Koop is an associate professor
in the department of political studies
at the University of Manitoba.
Hopes for a Liberal revival are fading
ROYCE
KOOP
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